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Risk Management Ideas

Risk has as one of its essential elements TRUST as a foundation. Trust on the other hand has many other factors that interplay and interact on it. Markets are created when there are needs that are not...

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A Storm in a ‘Tea’ cup

Never resist the temptation to start a discussion with a pun. In our previous article we highlighted the ‘battle royal’ on Capitol Hill to get a proposal agreed to address the possibility of a US...

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The US Treasury Yield Curves #2 – Do you factor inflation into the deal?

In the previous article we posted, mention was made of the (0.72)% [negative 0.72%] real return US Treasury investors can currently expect on 5 Year Treasury Bills.  The Nominal (quoted) Yield Curves...

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US Treasuries – An FX or a market call?

So it has finally happened. After threatening for months that a credit rating down grade was probable for the USA, Standard & Poor’s finally took the ‘big step’ on Friday 5 August, after the major...

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Get your calculators out

Yesterday the Independent Commission on Banking (Vickers Commission) published its long anticipated, yet low in surprises report on Banking Reform in the UK. See: Rather than rehash the analysis...

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Quantitative Easing – Here we go again

A reminder of what we wrote on 22 September 2011 about Quantitative Easing: “QE – Our take on the Bell Curve Effect” (Please click on the link for the full article).   Expect Mervin King to continue...

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Do we value everything and understand nothing?

On reflection, the ‘mechanism’ established to rescue or save the Euro is indicative of the fact that we still understand very little and can control and short-circuit systems to some extent, yet we...

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More and Bigger Europe…Is that what we really want?

Image via Wikipedia Yes, it will be more bureaucracy and bigger financial problems down the line… We pick up our analysis this week in the dusky glint of the aftermath of the (latest) EU Leader summit...

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Our Lessons from 2011

  We decided to summarise our learning from 2011 into two brief thoughts:   Image via Wikipedia The pains and strains of the economic sovereign debt melt-down in 2011, should stand us in good stead to...

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Irony and Downgrade Anger

It is with a little amusement that we scanned through the Economic headlines today, following Standard & Poor’s decision to finally downgrade France’s and other Eurozone nation’s Sovereign Debt...

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Where will all the new money come from?

Image via Wikipedia Today’s brief analysis of US Treasury Yield curves and the Debt profiles of both the USA and Italy highlights the enduring question in the title of this post. The first graphic...

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Trust, Risk and stifled Innovation

In the light of the recent Citigroup’s settlement of mis-sold Hedge Fund investments, we issue this brief opinion piece on the interactions of Risk, Trust and Innovation: We don’t think it is so much...

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Some Questions for Europe

After the conclusion to what some pundits called a ‘tumultuous week’ for Europe (week ending 11 May 2012), we still find ourselves asking some important questions. Europe Simulator (Photo credit: wigu)...

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Moral Hazard PLUS – Part 2

Part 2 – Revelations   In part 1 of this article we focused on the economic cycles and the underlying drivers for future Moral Hazard risks. In today’s edition we will dwell a little on the...

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Frameworks, frameworks, frameworks…

Today (26 October 2011) is an important watershed date (or not) for Europe. Will our leaders and the politicians be able to agree an all encompassing Framework to rescue the Euro, or will we need to...

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